Imperial Oil Stock Performance

IMO Stock  USD 119.76  3.41  2.93%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Imperial Oil holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.58, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Imperial Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Imperial Oil is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Imperial Oil's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Imperial Oil's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Imperial Oil are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak primary indicators, Imperial Oil displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.93
Five Day Return
6.15
Year To Date Return
34.43
Ten Year Return
304.59
All Time Return
1.6 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0215
Payout Ratio
0.2968
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.58
Dividend Date
2026-04-01
1
Suncors Steady Momentum Why Holding the Stock Still Makes Sense
11/25/2025
2
Canadian Safety Achievement Awards Honour AlumaSafway with 14 National Safety Awards
12/17/2025
3
LARGE CAP INTERNATIONAL PORTFOLIO Buys Shares of Imperial Oil Lt - GuruFocus
01/13/2026
4
When Oil Falls but Exxon and Chevron Dont
01/16/2026
5
Will Imperial Oil Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report
01/23/2026
6
Imperial Oil Maintained at Underperformer at CIBC Ahead of Q4 Results -
01/26/2026
7
Imperial Oil Q4 2025 Earnings Preview
01/29/2026
8
Imperial Oil raises dividend by 20
01/30/2026
9
Imperial Oil Price Target Raised to C107.00 - MarketBeat
02/02/2026
10
Here is why Imperial Oil gained this week - MSN
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow933.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.9 B

Imperial Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,028  in Imperial Oil on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,948  from holding Imperial Oil or generate 19.43% return on investment over 90 days. Imperial Oil is generating 0.3122% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.0531% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Imperial, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Imperial Oil is expected to generate 2.72 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.72 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Imperial Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Imperial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 119.76 90 days 119.76 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Imperial Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Imperial Oil probability density function shows the probability of Imperial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Imperial Oil has a beta of 0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Imperial Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Imperial Oil will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Imperial Oil has an alpha of 0.327, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Imperial Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Imperial Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imperial Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
117.50119.55121.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.37104.42131.74
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
71.1778.2186.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.231.451.93
Details

Imperial Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Imperial Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Imperial Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Imperial Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Imperial Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
8.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Imperial Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Imperial Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Imperial Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Here is why Imperial Oil gained this week - MSN

Imperial Oil Fundamentals Growth

Imperial Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Imperial Oil, and Imperial Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Imperial Stock performance.

About Imperial Oil Performance

By examining Imperial Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Imperial Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Imperial Oil is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 25.96  34.02 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.14 

Things to note about Imperial Oil performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Imperial Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Imperial Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Here is why Imperial Oil gained this week - MSN
Evaluating Imperial Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Imperial Oil's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Imperial Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Imperial Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Imperial Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Imperial Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Imperial Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Imperial Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Imperial Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Imperial Oil's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Imperial Oil's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Imperial Oil offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Imperial Oil's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Imperial Oil Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Imperial Oil Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Imperial Oil. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
To learn how to invest in Imperial Stock, please use our How to Invest in Imperial Oil guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could Imperial diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Imperial Oil. Market participants price Imperial higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Imperial Oil data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.58)
Dividend Share
2.88
Earnings Share
4.75
Revenue Per Share
93.637
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Imperial Oil's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Imperial's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Imperial Oil's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Imperial Oil's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Imperial Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Imperial Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Imperial Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.